Market Perspectives

Making Sense of the Inflation Tug-Of-War

Midway through 2021, we shared our outlook on inflation, forecasting that the surge in prices was most likely temporary. Equipped with more time, data, and analysis, we are now reconsidering this idea of transitory inflation. In the table below, we present a useful framework to help identify and distinguish various short- and long-term inflation trends, and to help understand their future impacts on inflation in 2022 and beyond.